Journal

Insight from inside the markets

Regular analysis from the Havnorth research desk on machine learning, digital-asset infrastructure and the UK regulatory landscape.

Latest

Recent articles

Transformer models and the early detection of volatility regimes

Why attention-based networks recognise a shift in market regime sooner than older recurrent designs.

The UK cryptoasset regime: what changes for retail traders

Promotion rules, authorisation and disclosure: how the evolving UK framework is reshaping the retail crypto market.

Reading the Bank of England with natural-language models

How language models parse MPC minutes and speeches to flag a change in tone before sterling reprices.

Bitcoin beyond the halving: what on-chain data is signalling

Wallet flows, miner behaviour and exchange balances sketch the likely paths for the months ahead.

Why algorithms keep their nerve in falling markets

Rule-based models stay disciplined precisely when fear clouds human judgement.

Layer-two networks and the arrival of institutional money

Arbitrum, Optimism and zkSync are attracting a growing share of professional liquidity.

Reinforcement learning and the art of position sizing

How adaptive models scale exposure to volatility while respecting a fixed risk ceiling.

Sterling stablecoins and the future of settlement

Pound-denominated tokens could change how British businesses and investors move money across borders.

Spotting market manipulation without a human in the loop

Clustering techniques flag wash trading and spoofing before they distort prices.

Weighing up the risks of DeFi protocols

Headline yields come with smart-contract, liquidity and regulatory risks that deserve careful scrutiny.

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Risk warning: Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. Cryptoassets are high-risk and largely unregulated in the UK, and you are unlikely to be protected if something goes wrong, including by the Financial Ombudsman Service or the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. CFDs are complex leveraged products and losses can exceed what you expect. Havnorth does not provide personal investment advice; past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and all figures shown are illustrative. Questions: [email protected]